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Brock for Broglio

Prospects: Scherzer, Gallagher, Rasmus

Posted on April 23rd, 2008 by dchase

Lets run down yesterday’s (April 12th) MiLB box scores.

Batters:

Ian Stewart 4/5 HR(5), 3B(2)
Josh Fields 2/4 SB(3)
Fernando Martinez 2/6 2B(7)
Andrew McCutchen 2/4 2B(7), SB(4)
Steve Pearce 1/3 2B(7)
Nate Schierholtz 1/4 3B(2)
Colby Rasmus 1/4 HR(3)
Reid Brignac 2/5 2B(5)
Adam Lind 2/4 Batting .379

 

Pitchers:

Max Scherzer 6.0, 3R, 9K
Sean Gallagher 7.2, 1R, BB, 12K
Gio Gonzalez 5.0, 2R, 2BB, 5K

 

  • Sean Gallagher was a very underrated pitching prospect coming into this season; he’s one of the youngest prospects in AAA, and dominating thus far: 5 walks, and 25 strikeouts, in 23.1 innings pitched. I’d put him in the same class as the Gallardo’s and Lincecums’ of 07.

Prospects With Fantasy Value

Posted on April 18th, 2008 by dchase

Lets run down yesterday’s (April 17th) MiLB box scores.

Batters:

Jay Bruce 3/3 3B(2), HR(3)
Cameron Maybin 2/4 SB(2)
Fernando Martinez 0/5  
Andrew McCutchen 1/5 HR(3)
Chase Headley 1/4  
Nate Schierholtz 3/4  
Colby Rasmus 0/4  
Reid Brignac 2/4  

 

Pitchers:

Lance Broadway 8.0, 4R, 3BB, 3K
Dan Meyer 6.0, 2BB, 4K

Prospects With Fantasy Value

Posted on April 9th, 2008 by dchase

Lets run down yesterday’s (April 8th) MiLB box scores.

Batters:

Jay Bruce 1/4 2B
Brandon Jones 1/4 2B(4)
Jed Lowrie 1/3 3B
Josh Fields 1/3 2B
Brandon Wood 1/3 HR(2)
Matt LaPorta 2/5 2B
Andrew McCutchen 1/5  
Steven Pearce 2/4  
Chase Headley 2/4  
Carlos Gonzalez 1/4 HR
Reid Brignac 2/4 2B(2), 3B
Colby Rasmus 1/4  
Adam Lind 1/3  
Ian Stewart 2/5 3B

 

Pitchers:

Homer Bailey 5.2, BB, 7K
Randy Johnson 6.0, 3R, BB, 7K
Eric Hurley 4.1, 4R, 2BB, 7K
Jeff Niemann 6.0, 4R, 3BB, 4K
Francisco Liriano 4.0, 3R, 3BB, 3K
Rick Porcello 5.0, 4R, 4K

Athleticism a Substitute for Lack of Size?

Posted on April 9th, 2008 by dchase

It’s widely accepted throughout most talent-evaluating circles that a pitchers’ “frame” (usually referring to his height and weight) is a good indication of how well the pitcher will develop, and remain healthy.

The conventional thought is pretty simple: The bigger the body, the more workload the pitcher is likely to sustain; and the better the chance the pitcher overcomes the injury nexus, and materializes into an affective major leaguer.

 

I was reading through John Sickel’s fantastic minor league blog, and came across this nugget about Shaun Marcum:

One thing that stands out for Marcum is his athleticism as a former college shortstop. Athleticism is something that’s often underrated when discussing pitchers, but it’s a critical factor in development. Marcum may be “undersized” classically as a shorter right-hander, but his athletic ability makes that a lot less important, in my view, and should help him stay healthy and reach his ultimate peak.

Next time somebody tries to down play Tim Lincecum’s potential–citing his small frame–challenge them by mentioning his raw athleticism.

 

Sickels on Lincecum’s athleticism:

Some people worry that he’s not a huge guy, being just 5-11 and 170 pounds officially. Personally I don’t really care about that. I’m more impressed by the fact that he’s incredibly athletic. I’ve always felt the whole short right-hander thing was overemphasized by some people, and in the case of guys like Pedro Martinez or Greg Maddux or Roy Oswalt, the premium athleticism and wiry strength is much more important than the lack of height.

Prospects With Fantasy Value

Posted on April 8th, 2008 by dchase

Lets run down yesterday’s (April 7th) MiLB box scores, and see if we can spot the next Ryan Braun. I’m only going to mention prospects that:

  1. Could provide fantasy value to your team this year, and
  2. Did something worth mentioning. IE: If Jay Bruce goes 0-4 you won’t find an update on his performance here.

The last column to the right will keep track of players extra base hits over the season.

Extra Base Hits per Plate Appearance (XBH/PA) is the single greatest indicator of how ready a position player is. For pitchers; it’s probably K/BB ratio.

Batters:

Jay Bruce 2/5 HR, 3B
Brandon Jones 2/4 2B(3)
Jed Lowrie 1/3  
Josh Fields 1/4  
Cameron Maybin 1/2 SB(2), BB(2), 1B
Brandon Wood 1/4  
Matt LaPorta 2/5 2B
Fernando Martinez 1/4  
Andrew McCutchen 2/5 HR(2)
Steven Pearce 1/4 2B(2)
Chase Headley 1/4  
Jeff Clement 1/2 BB(2)
Reid Brignac 2/6 HR
Evan Longoria 3/4  
Adam Lind 2/4 2B, BB(3)

 

Pitchers: (Right Column Days Performance Only)

Max Scherzer 5.0, 2BB, 7K
Chris Tillman 2.0, 3R, 3BB, 3K
Kevin Mulvey 5.2, BB, 5K
Carlos Carrasco 5.0, 2BB, 7K

Aaron Laffey Cle-SP

Posted on April 6th, 2008 by dchase

Aaron Laffey is currently in AAA, and #6 on the Indians SP Depth Chart. I’d only recommend stashing him in the deepest of leagues, but he’s another name worth keeping an eye on. He won’t strike many batters out, (6.21 MiLB career K/9) but he’s somebody who will induce ground balls at elite levels (60+ %) and pitch deep into games with a good ERA.

PECOTA projects a 4.55 ERA, with 100 IP this season, and an impressive 59% improve rate. For comparison, Homer Bailey is projected for 100 IP with a 5.40 ERA, and a 49% improve rate.

Laffey’s park, and team, should bode well for his ratios, and win totals.

Recommendation: Keep a close eye on him.

MLB Prospects With Fantasy Value

Posted on April 4th, 2008 by dchase

Lets run down yesterday’s (April 3 - Opening Day) MiLB box scores, and see if we can spot the next Ryan Braun. This might turn into a daily or weekly series; but I’ve made promises I couldn’t keep before, so don’t count on it.

Extra Base Hits per Plate Appearance (XBH/PA) is the single greatest indicator of how ready a position player is. For pitchers; it’s probably K/BB ratio.

Batters:

Jay Bruce 1/4 1B
Ian Stewart 2/5 HR, 2B
Cameron Maybin 1/4 HR
Nate Schierholtz 1/4 2B
Colby Rasmus 3/5 2B, 1B(2)
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 1/4 2B
Jeff Clement 1/4 1B
Adam Lind 1/4 HR

 

Pitchers:

Homer Bailey 7.0, R, BB, 2K
Randy Johnson 4.0, 5R, 2BB, K (Rehab)
Francisco Liriano 5.1, 4R 2BB, 8K
Kei Igawa 6.0, 7K
Eric Hurley 5.0, 2BB, 7K
Bartolo Colon 5.0, BB, 5K
Aaron Laffey 5.0, BB, 5K

 

I tried to keep this list exclusive to minor leaguers who have a shot at making a major league roster this season. What prospects should I include in these reports?