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Homer Bailey is Still Elite

Posted on March 11th, 2008 by dchase

I’ve been reading a lot of negative feedback about Homer Bailey lately. Cueto is an outstanding pitching prospect, but given a choice between the two, my money is still on Bailey having the more productive career.

Don’t let Bailey’s lackluster major league campaign fool you. Besides a poor minor league walk rate (4.23), all of his peripherals point to a major league ace in the making. His skill set is also hitter-park defensible. Bailey is one of those rare pitchers who induce a lot of groundballs, and strike out more than a batter per IP.

Minor League Totals:

GB% K/9 IP Age
47 9.85 317.2 19-21

Scouts rave about his general athleticism, and his body bodes well for sustained health and heavy workload. 

Last season, he threw strikes on only 58 percent of pitches in the majors, and just 61 percent in Triple-A. Obviously his command/control is a current problem, but at 21.8 years old, he still has more than enough time to refine that area of his game.

For those in dynasty set ups, let people continue to jump on the Cueto band wagon, and swipe Bailey at a value. Even those in redraft leagues, keep an eye out for a second half call up; his potential is immense.

One Response to “Homer Bailey is Still Elite”

  1. comment number 1 by: The General

    Hey David, I take it you prefer Bailey? I just wrote about the two of them at fantasy baseball generals. I prefer Cueto, but agree that Bailey could present more “value” only because of the bandwagon.

    Great job as usual.

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